check your flange young's modulus, it should be about 29 * 10^6. You are off by a million there, I think.

Flange Modulus of Elasticity @Design ......(lb./sq.in.) 29.070
Flange Modulus of Elasticity @Ambient .....(lb./sq.in.) 29.500
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Best Regards,
Mandeep Singh
CADWorx & Analysis Solutions
Hexagon PPM