Q1: "Is it possible for a poorly supported system to induce yielding"
A1: Yes, of course...
Q2:"...is it likely that the problem lies elsewhere?"
A2: Anything is possible.
"The stress analysis of the system predicts a max stress ratio of 80% of the b31.1 allowable." What loads are you talking about in creating this thermal displacement, Sustained loads, Occasional loads or what?
The line must have been installed centered on the support but something caused it to move laterally, perhaps thermal strain, perhaps an occasional load...
1st order field survey is what your model is based upon, match the real world layout, support/retstraint condition?
2cd Evaluate the cause of the lateral shift... what amount of force either uniform load or single point load would cause the lateral shift assuming that it does not shift due to suatained or thermal loads?
Justa couple of ideas off the top you get the idea I hope.....
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Best Regards,
John C. Luf